Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.171220 0.206534 0.244547 0.288212 0.336694 0.388598 0.448090
2025-02-16 0.117446 0.163006 0.216263 0.281871 0.359316 0.446709 0.551670
2025-02-23 0.079705 0.128691 0.191009 0.273044 0.375291 0.495883 0.646237
2025-03-02 0.050433 0.097392 0.163066 0.255638 0.377252 0.526643 0.719165
2025-03-09 0.035513 0.081640 0.152003 0.257104 0.401112 0.583608 0.824620
2025-03-16 0.022831 0.065044 0.136207 0.249274 0.410924 0.622075 0.907456
2025-03-23 0.017344 0.059083 0.135152 0.261545 0.447645 0.695719 1.036128
2025-03-30 0.011476 0.049704 0.126508 0.260977 0.465613 0.744510 1.133477
2025-04-06 0.007477 0.042315 0.119626 0.261869 0.484930 0.794959 1.233485
2025-04-13 0.005110 0.037701 0.116839 0.268679 0.512681 0.857151 1.349804
2025-04-20 0.003533 0.034326 0.115728 0.277848 0.543913 0.924519 1.473895
2025-04-27 0.002310 0.030997 0.113949 0.285417 0.572624 0.988664 1.594424
2025-05-04 0.001107 0.025683 0.106663 0.282739 0.585676 1.031667 1.688249
2025-05-11 0.000558 0.022710 0.104184 0.288509 0.612155 1.094408 1.810168
2025-05-18 0.000171 0.018770 0.098044 0.286542 0.625773 1.138552 1.906929
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.013666 0.086580 0.272513 0.618417 1.151236 1.959604
2025-06-01 NaN 0.011749 0.084071 0.276357 0.640954 1.208555 2.075636
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008898 0.076973 0.269470 0.644496 1.237052 2.150918
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008539 0.079156 0.283172 0.684302 1.321248 2.306674
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006928 0.075429 0.283035 0.699476 1.367829 2.408854
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005670 0.072466 0.284245 0.716901 1.417985 2.516599
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005021 0.072113 0.291587 0.745549 1.485902 2.650710
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004598 0.072758 0.301352 0.778787 1.561321 2.796315